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Credit card lending standards
Credit card lending standards is +4.0% net and has held roughly steady over the last 3 months. That is in its normal range: higher than 55% of readings since 2007.
What it affects next
It is close to normal and not moving much, so there is no ripple to trace right now.
What is driving it
None of its tested drivers is moving much right now.
All tested links
When banks cut off credit card access, stretched borrowers can't roll balances and more fall behind. Typical lag: 3-9 months. Strongest match 2 quarters later (correlation 0.60, 116 observations since 1997).
Tighter card approvals take spending power away from households. Typical lag: 0-6 months. Strongest match 1 quarter later (correlation -0.54, 118 observations since 1997).
Source: Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey via FRED (series DRTSCLCC).