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5Y Treasury yield
5Y Treasury yield is 5.0% and has been rising over the last 3 months. That is near the top of its range: higher than 99% of readings since 2006.
Latest (latest reading)
5.0%
As of
Nov 12, 2026
3-month change
+63 bps
1-year change
+127 bps
20-year percentile
99th
20-year median
2.0%
What it is. Medium-term Treasury rate; reflects expected Fed policy and inflation over five years, and feeds car loans and some business loans. A higher reading means more rate tightness in the Rates reading.
What it affects next
5Y Treasury yield is rising: 5.0% (+63 bps in 3 months, 99th percentile of the last 20 years). Here is what has tended to follow, based on links the data backs up.
- →30Y Treasury yield: has tended to rise in the same month. Following
What is driving it
None of its tested drivers is moving much right now.
All tested links
Medium and long Treasury yields usually move together, though the gap between them shifts with the economy. Typical lag: same month. Strongest match in the same period (correlation 0.79, 371 observations since 1996).
Source: Treasury via FRED (series DGS5).