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30Y Treasury yield
30Y Treasury yield is 5.4% and has been rising over the last 3 months. That is near the top of its range: higher than 100% of readings since 2006.
Latest (latest reading)
5.4%
As of
Nov 12, 2026
3-month change
+22 bps
1-year change
+76 bps
20-year percentile
100th
20-year median
3.4%
What it is. Longest benchmark Treasury rate; reflects long-run inflation and growth expectations and investors' demand for extra pay to lock up money. A higher reading means more rate tightness in the Rates reading.
What it affects next
30Y Treasury yield is rising: 5.4% (+22 bps in 3 months, 100th percentile of the last 20 years). Here is what has tended to follow, based on links the data backs up.
No tested downstream links to trace yet.
What is driving it
- ←5Y Treasury yield is rising, which has historically lined up with this indicator rising at the same time.
All tested links
Medium and long Treasury yields usually move together, though the gap between them shifts with the economy. Typical lag: same month. Strongest match in the same period (correlation 0.79, 371 observations since 1996).
Source: Treasury via FRED (series DGS30).