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10Y inflation expectations

10Y inflation expectations is 2.2% and has held roughly steady over the last 3 months. That is in its normal range: higher than 58% of readings since 2006.

Latest (latest reading)
2.2%
As of
Nov 13, 2026
3-month change
−3 bps
1-year change
−4 bps
20-year percentile
58th
20-year median
2.2%
0.00.81.62.33.12010201520202025
Monthly averages, last 20 years. Shaded band = the middle half of readings.
What it is. What the bond market expects inflation to average over 10 years. A higher reading means more inflation pressure in the Inflation reading.

What it affects next

It is close to normal and not moving much, so there is no ripple to trace right now.

What is driving it

None of its tested drivers is moving much right now.

Source: FRED (series T10YIE).